Brief: Inflation and Brokerage Profits

I’m super busy with a couple of important projects, and I’ve been up in the mountains celebrating the Sunny Freedom Tour ’21, so time is a bit short. But I did want to share something that I thought was interesting. As you know, I’m of the opinion that real inflation is way higher than the … Read more

The Most Important Chart from 2020

The mainstream financial press is talking about what might be the single most important chart from 2020, which is above. The U.S. money supply increased dramatically in 2020. CNBC talked about it: “It’s fair to say we have never observed money supply growth as high as it is today,” Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist … Read more

Industry Relations Ep. 44: What Forbearance Means for Mortgage Markets – with Rob Chrisman

Happy Friday, everybody! Hope everyone is keeping safe and healthy, and in as high a spirit as possible given our current situation. Just a quick post to let you know that Greg Robertson and I recorded an episode of Industry Relations with Rob Chrisman, a widely-recognized expert in the mortgage industry. We discuss what the … Read more

Seven Predictions for 2020: The Rat Pack Edition

Earlier this year, Sunny and I made her third (my second) move across this great country of ours in three years, landing in Las Vegas. I have to say, so far, we’re quite in love with this city. Most of you only know Las Vegas from The Strip… which is unfortunate. It’s quite like judging … Read more

[VIP] Zillow’s Possible Long Game: Mortgages and iBuyer

It’s VIP Content Week, as I am home for several days without any travel. All that changes next week, but… in the meantime, I thought it worth putting together some posts for subscribers that reflect some of the things I’ve been working on in recent weeks. One topic that keeps coming up both online and … Read more

[VIP] Did Redfin Just Surrender?

Yesterday, Redfin announced that it was entering into a partnership with Opendoor to become a conduit for Opendoor’s direct purchase offers: SAN FRANCISCO and SEATTLE, July 11, 2019 /PRNewswire/ — Opendoor and Redfin, two of the nation’s largest technology-powered real estate companies, today announced home sellers in Phoenix and Atlanta can now request an Opendoor offer through Redfin’s site and mobile apps. By … Read more

A Note on eXp and Margins

Happy Friday, everybody. I’m deep in the heart of final edits on the June Red Dot report, tentatively titled “Zillow, Redfin, Realogy: The Shape of Things to Come” so haven’t been blogging as much. But in writing the June report, I looked at eXp in some detail as a comparable. In future reports, I may … Read more

Are Investor Offers Always Worse?

I’ve been in the mountains of North Carolina the last couple of weeks with intermittent internet service and zero cell coverage. So obviously, blogging was nonexistent. I barely responded to emails, to be honest. One interesting conversation I had with Sunny around the campfire, though, was whether investor offers are always and everywhere worse than … Read more

Understanding Opendoor’s Mortgage Brokerage Move

Regular readers know that I have said that Opendoor could be the most important company in real estate. My reasoning was that Opendoor looked to be trying to revolutionize the single biggest painful aspect of buying a home: the mortgage. Here’s what I wrote: So yeah, I think Opendoor is about revolutionizing the entire culture around how homes … Read more